Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 16, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ben Broggio 10' goal
  • Ben Broggio 13' goal
  • Rory Wilson 53' yellowcard
  • Travis Patterson 76' yellowcard
  • Kerr Smith 76' yellowcard
  • Rico Richards 85' goal
  • yellowcard Darren Robinson 51'
  • yellowcard Alex Stepien-Iwumene 51'
  • goal Emmanuel Ilesanmi 87'

Aston Villa Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
May 6, 2024 12.00pm
Spurs U21s 4 - 3 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Ben Broggio

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Apr 29, 2024 7.00pm
Derby U21s 3 - 0 Everton U21s
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lennon Wheeldon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Under-21s 50.05% (-0.37)
Draw 20.03% (+0.07)
Derby County Under-21s 29.92% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

74.07% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.5% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 23.5% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 57.07% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 42.93% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 37.53% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 62.47% (+0.19)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 89.72% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 10.28% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 66.32% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 33.67% (+0.33)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 82.56% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 17.44% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 52.11% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 47.89% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 50.05%
Draw 20.03%
Derby County Under-21s 29.92%
Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 5.37% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 50.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.12% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 7.08% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.03%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.22% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.12% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.62% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.13% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.74% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
3-4 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 29.92%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 1, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Ben Broggio 4' goal
  • Kobei Moore 7' goal
  • Rico Richards 20' goal
  • Finley Munroe 40' yellowcard
  • Finley Munroe 57' redcard
  • Teddy Rowe 60' yellowcard
  • Kerr Smith 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Gibson-Hammond 10'
  • goal Dajaune Brown 32'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 36'
  • yellowcard Henry Jeffcott 67'
  • yellowcard J. C. Lindsay 88'
  • yellowcard Jason Lindsay 88'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Chisom Afoka 52' goal
  • Josh Feeney 65' goal
  • Chisom Afoka 69' goal
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Chisom Afoka 11'
  • goal Declan Firth 63'