Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
3 - 0
Everton U21s

McAndrew (18'), Moloney (73'), Nto (76')
Robinson (57'), Bartley (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Onyango (45')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Everton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Monday, April 15 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Everton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds U21s 1-1 Everton U21s
Monday, April 22 at 1.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.73%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawEverton Under-21s
24.99% (-0.366 -0.37)20.11% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)54.89% (0.399 0.4)
Both teams to score 69.07% (-0.294 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.9% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)28.1% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.13% (-0.261 -0.26)48.86% (0.256 0.26)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.36 -0.36)22.75% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (-0.534 -0.53)56.43% (0.529 0.53)
Everton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (0.032000000000011 0.03)10.58% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.64% (0.078000000000003 0.08)34.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 24.99%
    Everton Under-21s 54.89%
    Draw 20.11%
Derby County Under-21sDrawEverton Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 24.99%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.73% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.78% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.047 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.15% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 54.89%