Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.73%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.