Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.91%) and 2-3 (5.32%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.