Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.67%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Under-21s would win this match.