Premier League 2 - Div 1

Aug 30, 2024 at 7pm UK

Colney Training Centre

Arsenal U21s
4 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Robinson (31'), Edwards (59' pen.), Butler-Oyedeji (69'), Ferdinand (86')
Oulad M'Hand (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (80' pen.)
Katsukunya (15'), Wilson (56'), Lutz (77')
Edwards (90+3')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves U21s 1-3 Arsenal U21s
Friday, August 23 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds U21s 1-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 39.64% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.19%) and 3-1 (4.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
40.38% ( -0.93)	19.98% ( 0.07)	39.64% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 77.74% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.88% (

-0.29)

20.12% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.73% (

-0.41)

38.26% (

0.41)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

-0.41)

11.71% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.17% (

-0.88)

36.82% (

0.88)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.05% (

0.15)

11.94% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.67% (

0.32)

37.32% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 40.38%

Aston Villa Under-21s 39.64%

Draw 19.98%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.02% Total : 40.38%	2-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 4-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.98%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 3-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.89% Total : 39.64%