Premier League 2 - Div 1
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal U21s
6 - 2
Man Utd U21s

Butler-Oyedeji (14', 42'), Henry-Francis (27'), Cozier-Duberry (30', 90+1'), Nwaneri (54' pen.)
Henry-Francis (45+3'), Nwaneri (65')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Mather (66'), Biancheri (90+5')
Mather (21'), Williams (71'), Williams (74')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 0-2 Arsenal U21s
Sunday, April 28 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Saints U21s 3-6 Man Utd U21s
Monday, April 29 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.33%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawManchester United Under-21s
43.35% (0.081000000000003 0.08)20.03% (-0.106 -0.11)36.62% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 77.18% (0.434 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.31% (0.53500000000001 0.54)20.69% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.92% (0.748 0.75)39.07% (-0.746 -0.75)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (0.241 0.24)11.06% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.59% (0.52199999999999 0.52)35.41% (-0.518 -0.52)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77% (0.256 0.26)13.22% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02% (0.515 0.52)39.98% (-0.512 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 43.35%
    Manchester United Under-21s 36.62%
    Draw 20.03%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 5.33% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-0 @ 3.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.93% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.98% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 43.35%
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-1 @ 6.51% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 3.59% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-4 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.89% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-1 @ 2.96% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-4 @ 2.48% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.82% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 36.62%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 12pm
Man Utd U21s
2-4
Arsenal U21s
Mejia (45+2'), Forson (58')
Shoretire (18'), Kambwala (90+3')
Sousa (13', 32'), Henry-Francis (28'), Edwards (36')
Ibrahim (68'), Walters (84')
Mar 31, 2023 7pm
Man Utd U21s
1-1
Arsenal U21s
Mejia (24')
Edwards (20')
Aug 6, 2022 1pm
Arsenal U21s
3-1
Man Utd U21s
Edwards (41'), Marquinhos (46'), Azeez (50')
Wellens (14')
McNeill (56'), Hansen-Aaroen (80')
rhs 2.0


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