Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 29, 2024 at 12pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium

Saints U21s
3 - 6
Man Utd U21s

Amo-Ameyaw (1'), Pearce (59'), Merry (88')
Awe (63'), McAllister (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wheatley (22', 23'), Mather (61'), Williams (62', 80'), McNeill (85')
Amass (90+4'), Devaney (90+5')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-0 Saints U21s
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Forest U21s 0-0 Man Utd U21s
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.66%) and 3-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawManchester United Under-21s
46.33% (-0.994 -0.99)20.09% (0.639 0.64)33.58% (0.35400000000001 0.35)
Both teams to score 75.93% (-2.386 -2.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.09% (-2.99 -2.99)21.91% (2.989 2.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.23% (-4.233 -4.23)40.77% (4.232 4.23)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (-1.384 -1.38)10.69% (1.382 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.4% (-3.191 -3.19)34.59% (3.189 3.19)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (-1.334 -1.33)14.98% (1.332 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (-2.591 -2.59)43.41% (2.591 2.59)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 46.33%
    Manchester United Under-21s 33.58%
    Draw 20.09%
Southampton Under-21sDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.468 0.47)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 5.38% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-0 @ 4% (0.423 0.42)
1-0 @ 3.58% (0.565 0.57)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-2 @ 3.01% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.149 0.15)
4-3 @ 1.9% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.176 -0.18)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 46.33%
2-2 @ 7.21% (0.112 0.11)
1-1 @ 6.8% (0.792 0.79)
3-3 @ 3.4% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 1.6% (0.331 0.33)
4-4 @ 0.9% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.09%
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.472 0.47)
2-3 @ 4.57% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.511 0.51)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.367 0.37)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.154 0.15)
3-4 @ 1.62% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 5%
Total : 33.58%