Premier League 2 - Div 1
May 11, 2024 at 1pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal U21s
2 - 3
Chelsea U21s

Lewis-Skelly (13'), Butler-Oyedeji (55')
Lewis-Skelly (72'), Gower (90+4'), Heaven (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moreira (45+2', 80', 90+5')
Wilson (62'), Moreira (70'), Morgan (90')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal U21s 6-2 Man Utd U21s
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 3-3 Brighton U21s (0-0 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 2-3 (5.37%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
26.78%19.66%53.56%
Both teams to score 72.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.91%24.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.28%43.72%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74%51.26%
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39%9.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.88%32.12%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 26.78%
    Chelsea Under-21s 53.56%
    Draw 19.66%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 3.21%
1-0 @ 3.06%
2-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.54%
3-0 @ 1.37%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.78%
1-1 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 6.88%
3-3 @ 2.93%
0-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 8.39%
1-3 @ 6.55%
2-3 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 5.12%
0-1 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 4%
1-4 @ 3.84%
2-4 @ 3.14%
0-4 @ 2.34%
1-5 @ 1.8%
3-4 @ 1.72%
2-5 @ 1.47%
0-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 53.56%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 7pm
Chelsea U21s
2-4
Arsenal U21s
Washington (22'), Morgan (90')
Sturge (20'), Gee (85'), Willis (90+4'), Castledine (90+7')
Foram (32'), Sweet (54'), Nwaneri (64'), Sturge (84' og.)
Nwaneri (56'), Nichols (65'), Gower (80')
Feb 27, 2023 7pm
Aug 20, 2022 2pm
Arsenal U21s
4-1
Chelsea U21s
Olayinka (29'), Edwards (34'), Sagoe Jr (79'), Butler-Oyedeji (90+1')
Azeez (90+2')
Webster (43')
Sturge (55'), Simons (77'), Brooking (90+2')
Jan 11, 2022 7pm
Third Round
Arsenal U21s
4-1
Chelsea U21s
Olayinka (10'), Biereth (42'), Hutchinson (61'), Flores (67')
Ogungbo (45')
Wareham (38')
Baker (65'), Nunn (84')
Mbuyamba (35')