EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Britannia Stadium

Stoke
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Rose (54')
Thompson (18'), Bae (33'), Manhoef (45+4'), Johansson (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (90+1')
Helm (28'), Mayor (45+4'), Bolton (57')

Stoke win 2-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
50.38% ( -1.29)	23.47% ( 0.16)	26.14% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.79% (

0.26)

43.21% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.39% (

0.26)

65.61% (

-0.26)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

-0.38)

17.25% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.44% (

-0.67)

47.56% (

0.67)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

1.03)

30.03% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

1.22)

66.15% (

-1.22)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 50.38%

Fleetwood Town 26.14%

Draw 23.47%

Stoke City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.14%