Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Stoke

El Mizouni (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tchamadeu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Stoke City
30.88% ( -0.2)	25.06% ( -0.04)	44.06% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

0.1)

47.32% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

0.09)

69.55% (

-0.1)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-0.08)

28.75% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.1)

64.58% (

0.1)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

0.15)

21.49% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46% (

0.24)

54.54% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 30.88%

Stoke City 44.06%

Draw 25.06%

Oxford United	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.06%