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EFL Cup

Coventry City
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Oxford United

Coventry
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Thomas-Asante (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Coventry City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

Oxford United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
53.3% (0.751 0.75)22.36% (-0.212 -0.21)24.34% (-0.538 -0.54)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.13399999999999 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.23% (0.45 0.45)39.77% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.465 0.46)62.12% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (0.411 0.41)14.97% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (0.775 0.77)43.4% (-0.774 -0.77)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.185 -0.19)29.61% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-0.226 -0.23)65.65% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 53.3%
    Oxford United 24.34%
    Draw 22.35%
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.045 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: Coventry vs Oxford Utd

Coventry City
83.3%
Draw
6.7%
Oxford United
10.0%
60
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Coventry
3-2
Oxford Utd
Wright (15', 90+6'), Van Ewijk (31')
Brown (22'), Harris (55')
Bennett (16'), Goodrham (59'), Harris (90')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2024 12.30pm
Third Round
Coventry
6-2
Oxford Utd
Latibeaudiere (8'), Sheaf (11'), Palmer (17'), O'Hare (50' pen.), Godden (84', 88')
Sheaf (90+1')
Harris (10'), Goodrham (79')
Brannagan (15'), Rodrigues (30'), McEachran (32')
> Preview
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-2
Coventry
Panzo (30', 59')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 43
Coventry
P-P
Oxford Utd
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
3-3
Coventry
Mackie (64'), Dabo (85' og.), Moore (94')
Dickie (41'), Forde (62'), Ruffels (67'), Mackie (96')
Westbrooke (35'), Godden (56'), O'Hare (91')
Shipley (29'), Westbrooke (74')