Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ewood Park
  • Sondre Tronstad 37' yellowcard
  • Joe Rankin-Costello 45'+2' goal
  • Lewis Travis 77' yellowcard
  • Arnor Sigurdsson 83' goal
  • goal Mark Harris 44'
  • yellowcard Peter Kioso 57'

Blackburn Rovers vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
Norwich 2 - 2 Blackburn
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Oxford United

All competitions
Championship
Last game
Aug 16, 2024 8.00pm
Coventry 3 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gregory Leigh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result

Blackburn Rovers 42.38% (-0.02)
Draw 25.7% (+0.14)
Oxford United 31.92% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.28% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.31% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 49.69% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 28.29% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 71.7% (+0.56)
Over 4.5 13.51% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 86.49% (+0.38)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 76.7% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 23.3% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 42.76% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 57.24% (+0.41)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 70.76% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 29.23% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 34.81% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 65.19% (+0.48)

Score analysis

Blackburn Rovers 42.38%
Draw 25.7%
Oxford United 31.92%
Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 9.92% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.81% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 8.38% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 31.92%

Head to Head

League One
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Darragh Lenihan 12' goal
  • Jack Payne 76' goal
  • yellowcard Simon Eastwood 41'
  • yellowcard Joe Rothwell 61'
  • goal James Henry 66'
League One
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Jack Payne 45' goal
  • Jonathan Obika 85' goal
  • goal Charlie Mulgrew 6'
  • goal Marcus Antonsson 17'
  • goal Charlie Mulgrew 22'
  • goal Joe Nuttall 71'
  • yellowcard Charlie Mulgrew 74'
  • yellowcard Paul Downing 82'
FA Cup
Jan 30, 2016 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Johnny Mullins 5' yellowcard
  • George Baldock 64' yellowcard
  • Jonjoe Kenny 92' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Marshall 36'
  • yellowcard Tommy Spurr 39'
  • goal Tony Watt 45'
  • yellowcard Simeon Jackson 50'
  • yellowcard Darragh Lenihan 54'
  • goal Ben Marshall 76'
  • yellowcard Craig Conway 79'