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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Oxford United

Blackburn
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
42.38% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.7% (0.135 0.14)31.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.617 -0.62)49.69% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.555 -0.56)71.7% (0.554 0.55)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)23.3% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (-0.407 -0.41)57.24% (0.406 0.41)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.383 -0.38)29.23% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.473 -0.47)65.19% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.38%
    Oxford United 31.92%
    Draw 25.7%
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Oxford Utd

Blackburn Rovers
69.4%
Draw
19.4%
Oxford United
11.3%
62
Head to Head
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')
rhs 2.0


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