EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
0 - 1
Coventry

Naismith (29'), Armstrong (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Simms (65')
Dasilva (7'), Palmer (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Coventry City
38.29% ( -0.03)	25.77% ( 0)	35.94% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8% (

-0.01)

49.2% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.73% (

-0.01)

71.27% (

0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81% (

-0.02)

25.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.08% (

-0.03)

59.92% (

0.03)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49% (

0.01)

26.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3% (

0.01)

61.7% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 38.29%

Coventry City 35.94%

Draw 25.77%

Bristol City	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.29%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.94%