/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
-
Vakoun Issouf Bayo
31'
-
Vakoun Issouf Bayo
31'
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Edo Kayembe
47'
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Edo Kayembe
47'
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Ryan Andrews
49'
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Ryan Andrews
49'
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Edo Kayembe
73'
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Edo Kayembe
73'
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Francisco Sierralta
88'
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Francisco Sierralta
88'
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Jordan Thompson
55'
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Jordan Thompson
55'
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Josh Laurent
90'
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Josh Laurent
90'
Watford vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F32%2Ftom-cleverley.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result
Watford
30.17%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
26.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Stoke City
43.69%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
52.07%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.8%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
52.2%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
26.09%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
73.91%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 4.5
12.06%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
87.94%
▲
(+0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
68.29%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
31.71%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
31.86%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
68.13%
▲
(+0.19)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
76.24%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
23.75%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
42.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
57.9%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Watford
30.17%
Draw
26.14%
Stoke City
43.68%
Watford
1-0
@
8.65%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.17%
2-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.17%
Draw
1-1
@
12.43%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.14%
0-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.14%
Stoke City
0-1
@
10.82%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.68%
1-2 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.68%
