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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for West Bromwich Albion.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 34.11% ( | 25.84% ( | 40.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( | 49.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( | 71.74% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( | 27.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( | 63.46% ( |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( | 24.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.05% ( | 58.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.05% |