Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
0 - 1
Stoke

Rooney (15'), Forshaw (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Manhoef (83')
Junior Bocat (14'), Junior Bocat (14'), Burger (32'), Burger (32'), Wilmot (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.15pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Stoke City
25.48% ( 0.05)	24.03% ( 0.05)	50.49% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.37% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

-0.16)

46.25% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45% (

-0.16)

68.54% (

0.15)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

-0.05)

32.17% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

-0.06)

68.65% (

0.05)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.1)

18.35% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

-0.17)

49.47% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 25.48%

Stoke City 50.48%

Draw 24.03%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.48%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.03%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.48%