EFL Cup
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Mileta Rajovic 17' goal
  • James Morris 41' yellowcard
  • Tom Dele-Bashiru 45' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajovic 73' goal
  • Antonio Tikvic 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 45'+1'

Watford vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result

Watford 53.55% (-0.02)
Draw 22.59% (+0.01)
Plymouth Argyle 23.85% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.46% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.64% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 41.35% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 36.25% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 63.75% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.21% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.79% (+0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 84.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.29% (+0.02)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 69.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.85%
Under 1.5 67.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Watford 53.55%
Draw 22.58%
Plymouth Argyle 23.85%
Watford
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 8.9% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 53.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.58%
Plymouth Argyle
1-2 @ 6.15% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.85%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT Home Park
  • Finn Azaz 20' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 27' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 42' goal
  • Bali Mumba 59' yellowcard
  • Adam Randell 86' yellowcard
  • goal Edo Kayembe 11'
  • goal Ismael Kone 38'
  • yellowcard Jake Livermore 43'
  • goal Ryan Andrews 57'
  • yellowcard Rhys Healey 87'
  • yellowcard Yaser Asprilla 88'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 88'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • yellowcard Dan Scarr 71'
  • yellowcard Bali Mumba 78'
Championship
Apr 10, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Heidar Helguson 50' goal
  • Liam Henderson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Mackie 55'
Championship
Sep 15, 2009 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Krisztian Timar 27' yellowcard
  • Kari Arnason 37' yellowcard
  • David McNamee 43' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Cleverley 4'
Championship
Mar 3, 2009 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Gallagher 35' goal
  • Paul Gallagher 73' goal
  • yellowcard Mike Williamson 3'
Championship
Sep 16, 2008 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tommy Smith 73' yellowcard
  • John-Joe O'Toole 83' goal
  • goal Karl Duguid 30'
  • yellowcard Jim Paterson 55'
  • goal Luke Summerfield 72'
  • yellowcard Mathias Doumbé 75'