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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 43.97% ( | 26.93% ( | 29.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.3% ( | 55.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% ( | 76.85% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( | 25.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( | 59.89% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( | 34.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% ( | 71.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.1% |