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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
| 34.3% ( | 23.94% ( | 41.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( | 41.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( | 63.4% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( | 19.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( | 52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.76% |