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Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Notts County

Morecambe
1 - 1
Notts County

Angol (2')
Tollitt (24'), Harrack (78'), Lewis (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Platt (79')
Macarai (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Morecambe
Monday, September 23 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawNotts County
34.3% (-0.259 -0.26)23.94% (0.023 0.02)41.76% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 61.21% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (-0.17 -0.17)41.01% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (-0.173 -0.17)63.4% (0.177 0.18)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)23.6% (0.225 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.325 -0.32)57.68% (0.329 0.33)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)19.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)52% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 34.3%
    Notts County 41.76%
    Draw 23.93%
MorecambeDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 41.76%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Notts County

Morecambe
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Notts County
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Notts County
5-0
Morecambe
Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Notts County
Major (37')
Baldwin (36')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Notts County
0-0
Morecambe
Rose (50'), Doyle (95')
Bennett (14'), Mingoia (33'), Cranston (67'), Fleming (86'), Halstead (95')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Ellison (88')
Dennis (52')
Husin (71')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-4
Notts County
Lang (89')
Grant (13', 59'), Alessandra (21', 86')