Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Notts County
36.63% ( -0.15)	23.96% ( -0)	39.4% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 61.55% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26%

40.73% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.88% (

63.11% (

-0)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

-0.08)

22.23% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

-0.11)

55.65% (

0.11)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

0.07)

20.85% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

0.11)

53.54% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 36.63%

Notts County 39.4%

Draw 23.96%

Burton Albion	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.63%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.4%