League One

League One | Gameweek 7

Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Barnsley

Cooper Love (88')
Vancooten (68'), Akoto (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Connell (36'), Humphrys (90')
Earl (3'), Durand de Gevigney (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Man Utd 7-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Barnsley
45.59% ( -0.1)	24.98% ( -0.01)	29.43% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 55.41% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

0.09)

47.65% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

0.08)

69.84% (

-0.08)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.01)

20.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-0.02)

53.67% (

0.02)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

0.12)

29.91% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

0.15)

66.01% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 45.59%

Barnsley 29.43%

Draw 24.97%

Burton Albion	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.59%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.43%