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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 38.38% ( | 27.53% | 34.1% |
| Both teams to score 49.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% | 56.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% | 77.55% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( | 28.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% ( | 64.4% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% | 31.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% | 67.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.38% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.09% |