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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Bradford City |
| 26.33% ( | 25.07% ( | 48.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( | 49.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( | 71.95% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( | 33.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( | 70.1% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( | 20.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( | 53.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 3-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.6% |