Crawley Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crawley
3 - 4
AFC Wimbledon

Darcy (71' pen.), Hepburn-Murphy (80'), Flint (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maycock (44'), Stevens (55'), Tilley (57'), Pigott (90+6')
Ball (18'), Stevens (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
28.88% (0.029 0.03)24.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)46.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.36% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)66.74% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.010000000000005 0.01)28.62% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (0.012 0.01)64.42% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)19.03% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)50.61% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.88%
    AFC Wimbledon 46.95%
    Draw 24.16%
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 46.95%

How you voted: Crawley vs AFC Wimbledon

Crawley Town
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
AFC Wimbledon
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley

Tilley (11')
Orsi (78')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley
Nadesan (5')
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')