League One

League One | Gameweek 7

Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

SToK Cae Ras

Wrexham
2 - 1
Crawley

Lee (24'), Cleworth (79')
Dobson (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Quitirna (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Crawley Town
51.67% ( 0.08)	23.12% ( -0.03)	25.21% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.19% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

0.07)

42.4% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

0.07)

64.8% (

-0.07)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.52% (

0.06)

16.48% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.81% (

0.1)

46.19% (

-0.1)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

-0)

30.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49% (

-0.01)

66.51% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 51.67%

Crawley Town 25.21%

Draw 23.12%

Wrexham	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.67%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.21%