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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.36% ( -0.18) | 23.01% ( -0.04) | 18.63% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% ( 0.46) | 49.62% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% ( 0.41) | 71.64% ( -0.41) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% ( 0.1) | 16.71% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.4% ( 0.18) | 46.6% ( -0.18) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.35% ( 0.52) | 40.65% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% ( 0.47) | 77.25% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
13 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
16 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |