League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Wrexham
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Palmer (15'), Lee (42'), Marriott (59')
McClean (28'), Dobson (35'), Lee (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benning (8'), Ojo (69'), Winchester (76'), Lloyd (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
58.36% ( -0.18)	23.01% ( -0.04)	18.63% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

0.46)

49.62% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

0.41)

71.64% (

-0.41)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

0.1)

16.71% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.4% (

0.18)

46.6% (

-0.18)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.35% (

0.52)

40.65% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.75% (

0.47)

77.25% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 58.36%

Shrewsbury Town 18.63%

Draw 23%

Wrexham	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 58.36%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.63%