Wrexham AFC
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Salford City

Wrexham
2 - 1
Salford City

Mullin (18'), Austerfield (83')
Faal (25'), Bolton (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAleny (52')
Taylor (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Wrexham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League One

Salford City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 MK Dons
Monday, September 2 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawSalford City
46.05% (2.743 2.74)23.93% (-0.307 -0.31)30.01% (-2.432 -2.43)
Both teams to score 59.33% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.33% (0.337 0.34)42.67% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (0.335 0.34)65.07% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27% (1.302 1.3)18.73% (-1.298 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.9% (2.134 2.13)50.1% (-2.131 -2.13)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-1.37 -1.37)27% (1.373 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-1.83 -1.83)62.35% (1.834 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 46.05%
    Salford City 30.01%
    Draw 23.93%
WrexhamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.254 0.25)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.217 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.459 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.344 0.34)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.404 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.225 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.229 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.05%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.389 -0.39)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.367 -0.37)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.422 -0.42)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.01%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Salford City

Wrexham
93.8%
Draw
6.2%
Salford City
0.0%
65
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Salford City
3-1
Wrexham
Vassell (6'), Watt (16'), Smith (56')
Garbutt (20'), Watson (35'), Tilt (79'), N'Mai (90')
Dalby (41')
Tunnicliffe (33'), Lee (34'), Mullin (45+2')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wrexham
3-2
Salford City
Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')
Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-0
Wrexham
Green (23'), Gaffney (60')

Pearson (51'), Young (70')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
5-1
Salford City
Pearson (3'), Wright (24'), Walker (45'), Tollitt (86'), Holroyd (90')
Whitehead (90')
Pond (45'), Piergianni (47'), Mafuta (64'), Walker (73'), Touray (75')
Walker (90')