Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.