League One

League One | Gameweek 6

Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
3 - 1
Wrexham

Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Walsall (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Wrexham
51.31% ( -0.09)	23.09% ( 0.05)	25.6% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

-0.18)

41.96% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

-0.18)

64.36% (

0.18)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

-0.1)

16.45% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87% (

-0.18)

46.13% (

0.18)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

-0.06)

29.78% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.07)

65.86% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 51.31%

Wrexham 25.6%

Draw 23.09%

Birmingham City	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 51.31%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.6%