League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 2
Bolton

Kelley (86'), Mukena (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dempsey (5'), McAtee (78')
Adeboyejo (27'), Evatt (28'), Thomason (59'), Collins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
29.24% ( 0.04)	22.95% ( 0.02)	47.8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.34% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

-0.05)

38.48% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

-0.05)

60.77% (

0.05)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0)

25.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0)

60.21% (

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57% (

-0.04)

16.42% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.9% (

-0.07)

46.09% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 29.24%

Bolton Wanderers 47.8%

Draw 22.94%

Crawley Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.24%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.8%