/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog.png)
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Jeremy Kelley
86'
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Joy Mukena
90'+4'
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Kyle Dempsey
5'
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Victor Adeboyejo
27'
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Ian Evatt
28'
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George Thomason
59'
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John McAtee
78'
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Aaron Collins
90'+3'
Crawley Town vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Crawley Town Goals
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.24%
2-2 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 47.8%
