League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 2
Mansfield

Adeyemo (22'), Williams (36'), Ibrahim (36'), Darcy (69'), Mullarkey (76'), Roles (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gregory (12'), Waine (90+2')
Evans (13'), Clough (14'), Baccus (29'), Lewis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
22.12% ( -4.34)	21.96% ( -0.23)	55.92% ( 4.57)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-4.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.59% (

-3.48)

40.41% (

3.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.22% (

-3.68)

62.78% (

3.68)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

-5.35)

31.83% (

5.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-6.6)

68.27% (

6.6)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.65% (

0.27)

14.34% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.8% (

0.53)

42.19% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 22.12%

Mansfield Town 55.92%

Draw 21.95%

Crawley Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.76) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.12%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.68) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.69) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 1.42) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1.45) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.4) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.5) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.92%