League One Gameweek 9
Crawley
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield
  • Ade Adeyemo 22' yellowcard
  • Jay Williams 36' yellowcard
  • Bradley Ibrahim 36' yellowcard
  • Ronan Darcy 69' yellowcard
  • Toby Mullarkey 76' yellowcard
  • Jack Roles 89' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Gregory 12'
  • yellowcard Will Evans 13'
  • yellowcard Nigel Clough 14'
  • yellowcard Keanu Baccus 29'
  • yellowcard Aaron Lewis 44'
  • goal Ben Waine 90'+2'

Crawley Town vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
Crawley 0 - 2 Bolton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 2 Mansfield
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Will Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result

Crawley Town 22.12% ▼ (-4.34)
Draw 21.96% ▼ (-0.23)
Mansfield Town 55.92% ▲ (+4.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.39% ▼ (-4.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.59% ▼ (-3.49)
Under 2.5 40.41% ▲ (+3.49)
Over 3.5 37.22% ▼ (-3.68)
Under 3.5 62.78% ▲ (+3.68)
Over 4.5 19.95% ▼ (-2.92)
Under 4.5 80.05% ▲ (+2.92)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% ▼ (-5.35)
Under 0.5 31.83% ▲ (+5.35)
Over 1.5 31.73% ▼ (-6.60)
Under 1.5 68.27% ▲ (+6.60)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 85.65% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 14.34% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 57.8% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 42.19% ▼ (-0.53)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 22.12%
Draw 21.95%
Mansfield Town 55.92%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.77)
1-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.70)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.65)
3-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.68)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.70)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.95%
Mansfield Town
1-2 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.35)
0-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+1.43)
0-2 @ 8.61% ▲ (+1.46)
1-3 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.99)
2-3 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.40)
1-4 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.50)
2-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.18)
1-5 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.08)
0-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-83.75)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 55.92%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 43
Mansfield
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 4
FT One Call Stadium
Crawley
  • Hiram Boateng 80' goal
  • goal Kellan Gordon 4'
  • goal Kellan Gordon 4'
  • goal Nick Tsaroulla 24'
  • goal Nick Tsaroulla 24'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 45'+1'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 55'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 55'
  • goal Klaidi Lolas 56'
  • goal Klaidi Lolas 56'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 64'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Kelley 81'
League Two Gameweek 22
Crawley
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield
  • Will Wright 8' yellowcard
  • Dion Conroy 25' yellowcard
  • Danilo Orsi 36' goal
  • Ben Gladwin 38' yellowcard
  • Liam Kelly 57' yellowcard
  • Jay Williams 68' redcard
  • Jay Williams 68' yellowcard
  • goal Baily Cargill 12'
  • yellowcard Rhys Oates 26'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 34'
  • goal Davis Keillor-Dunn 56'
  • yellowcard Lewis Brunt 59'
  • goal George Maris 64'
League Two Gameweek 39
Mansfield
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT One Call Stadium
Crawley
  • Ollie Clarke 4' goal
  • Alfie Kilgour 47' goal
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 50' goal
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 65' goal
  • goal Mazeed Ogungbo 70'
League Two Gameweek 16
Crawley
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield
  • Ashley Nadesan 2' goal
  • Tom Nichols 13' goal
  • Ashley Nadesan 46' goal
  • goal Jordan Bowery 16'
  • goal George Lapslie 27'
League Two Gameweek 44
Mansfield
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Crawley
  • Jamie Murphy 26' goal
  • James Perch 36' yellowcard
  • Stephen McLaughlin 36' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 72' goal
  • George Lapslie 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Tilley 45'+2'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 69'
  • redcard James Tilley 69'
League Two Gameweek 19
Crawley
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Mansfield
  • James Tilley 48' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Hawkins 20'
  • goal Oliver Hawkins 24'
  • yellowcard Stephen McLaughlin 52'
  • goal Rhys Oates 72'

Form Data

Crawley 0 - 2 Bolton
Wrexham 2 - 1 Crawley
Crawley 1 - 1 Stockport
Crawley 0 - 3 Barnsley
Brighton 4 - 0 Crawley
Wigan 1 - 0 Crawley
Northampton 0 - 2 Mansfield
Mansfield 2 - 1 Shrewsbury
Mansfield 0 - 3 Bradford
Mansfield 2 - 1 Cambridge
Mansfield 1 - 1 Stockport
Lincoln 4 - 1 Mansfield