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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crawley
0 - 2
Mansfield


Adeyemo (22'), Williams (36'), Ibrahim (36'), Darcy (69'), Mullarkey (76'), Roles (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregory (12'), Waine (90+2')
Evans (13'), Clough (14'), Baccus (29'), Lewis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

Crawley did not make a great start to life without their previous manager Lindsey, and they were also very wasteful in front of goal in their defeat against Bolton. Meanwhile for Mansfield, Clough has undoubtedly got his side believing they can compete at this level, and with the plethora of attacking options at his disposal, we think the Stags could take all three points on Tuesday and win their fourth league game in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
22.12% (-4.339 -4.34) 21.96% (-0.229 -0.23) 55.92% (4.567 4.57)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-4.377 -4.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-3.484 -3.48)40.41% (3.483 3.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.679 -3.68)62.78% (3.678 3.68)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-5.346 -5.35)31.83% (5.345 5.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-6.597 -6.6)68.27% (6.596 6.6)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.274 0.27)14.34% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (0.529 0.53)42.19% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 22.12%
    Mansfield Town 55.92%
    Draw 21.95%
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.81% (-0.761 -0.76)
1-0 @ 5.23% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.694 -0.69)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.12%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.677 -0.68)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.694 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.4 -0.4)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.344 0.34)
0-1 @ 8.87% (1.422 1.42)
0-2 @ 8.61% (1.45 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.283 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.984 0.98)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.499 0.5)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 55.92%

How you voted: Crawley vs Mansfield

Crawley Town
12.9%
Draw
9.7%
Mansfield Town
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Mansfield
1-4
Crawley
Boateng (80')
Gordon (4'), Tsaroulla (24'), Orsi (55'), Lolas (56')
Wright (45+1'), Gordon (64'), Kelley (81')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Crawley
1-3
Mansfield
Orsi (36' pen.)
Wright (8'), Conroy (25'), Gladwin (38'), Kelly (57'), Williams (68')
Williams (68')
Cargill (12'), Keillor-Dunn (56'), Maris (64')
Oates (26'), Clarke (34'), Brunt (59')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Mansfield
4-1
Crawley
Clarke (4'), Kilgour (47'), Keillor-Dunn (50', 65')
Ogungbo (70')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crawley
3-2
Mansfield
Nadesan (2', 46'), Nichols (13')
Bowery (16' pen.), Lapslie (27')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Mansfield
2-0
Crawley
Murphy (26'), Akins (72')
Perch (36'), McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (83')

Tilley (45+2'), Tilley (69')
Tilley (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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