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Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Mansfield Town

Northampton
0 - 2
Mansfield

FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (47'), Lewis (89')
Evans (51'), Cargill (58'), Boateng (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
22.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)54.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.034000000000002 0.03)69.41% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.039999999999992 0.04)35.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)72.32% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)47.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 22.19%
    Mansfield Town 54.3%
    Draw 23.5%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.19%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.3%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
36.4%
Draw
18.2%
Mansfield Town
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
1-0
Mansfield
Hoskins (28' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Swan (84')
Hoskins (88')
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')