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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 22.19% ( | 23.5% ( | 54.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% ( | 47.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( | 35.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.68% ( | 72.32% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( | 17.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.4% ( | 47.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 3-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 22.19% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.47% ( 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0-4 @ 2.43% ( 2-4 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 54.3% |