EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Rhys Williams 15' yellowcard
  • Ben Tollitt 42' goal
  • Jamie Stott 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Charlie Brown 67' goal
  • Hallam Hope 78' goal
  • Ben Tollitt 87' goal
  • Yann Songo'o 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Fin Back 22'
  • goal Paul Lewis 50' (OG)

Morecambe vs Nottingham Forest Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 3, 2024 7.00pm
Wigan 1 - 2 Morecambe

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 3, 2024 7.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 2 Forest U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result

Morecambe 46.18% (-0.04)
Draw 23.52% (-0.05)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s 30.3% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.97% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.43% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 40.57% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 37.04% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 62.95% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 19.82% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 80.18% (-0.21)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 82.15% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 17.85% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 51.39% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 48.61% (-0.16)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 74.22% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 25.77% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 39.28% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 60.72% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Morecambe 46.18%
Draw 23.51%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s 30.3%
Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 46.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.51%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.29% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.84% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 30.3%