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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 49.89% ( | 23.9% ( | 26.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( | 45.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( | 67.42% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( | 18.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.9% ( | 49.1% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( | 67.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.21% |