Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Harrogate Town
National League
Aug 2, 2020 at 3pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Notts County

Harrogate
3 - 1
Notts County

Thomson (5'), Hall (28'), Diamond (70')
Hall (58'), Kerry (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Roberts (46')
Bagan (27'), Roberts (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League playoff final between Harrogate Town and Notts County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
46.4%25.81%27.79%
Both teams to score 51.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95%52.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22%73.78%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.93%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59%33.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96%70.04%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 46.4%
    Notts County 27.79%
    Draw 25.81%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 8.38%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.79%

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