League Two

League Two | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Harrogate

Armstrong (44')
Neal (39'), Mellish (74'), Robinson (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Daly (39')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Harrogate Town
31.47% ( -0.19)	25.7% ( 0.19)	42.83% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

-0.88)

49.86% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.14% (

-0.79)

71.86% (

0.79)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

-0.56)

29.62% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

-0.69)

65.66% (

0.7)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

-0.38)

23.16% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

-0.56)

57.03% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 31.47%

Harrogate Town 42.82%

Draw 25.7%

Carlisle United	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.47%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.82%