League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Harrison Neal 39' yellowcard
  • Luke Armstrong 44' goal
  • Jon Mellish 74' yellowcard
  • Jack Robinson 82' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Daly 39'

Carlisle United vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 4 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
Harrogate 1 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Josh March

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 31.47% (-0.19)
Draw 25.7% (+0.20)
Harrogate Town 42.83% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.14% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 49.86% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 28.14% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 71.86% (+0.80)
Over 4.5 13.41% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 86.59% (+0.54)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 70.38% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 29.62% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 34.34% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 65.66% (+0.70)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.84% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 23.16% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 42.97% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 57.03% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 31.47%
Draw 25.7%
Harrogate Town 42.82%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 8.35% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.08% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.86% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
Harrogate Town
0-1 @ 10.03% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.34% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.58% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 42.82%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Nov 14, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jordan Gibson 3' goal
  • Joe Garner 42' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 79' goal
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Sam Folarin 23' goal
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • goal Paul Huntington 82' (OG)
League Two Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Luke Armstrong 28' goal
  • Warren Burrell 60' goal
  • Jaheim Headley 76' goal
  • goal Taylor Charters 12'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 50'
  • goal Owen Moxon 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jack Diamond 18' goal
  • Rory McArdle 27' goal
  • Josh Austerfield 66' yellowcard
  • Nathan Sheron 70' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Jack Diamond 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Devine 35'
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 56'
EFL Trophy
Jan 4, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke Armstrong 7' goal
  • Brahima Diarra 32' yellowcard
  • Jack Diamond 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 33'