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Championship header 2

League Two

Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Grimsby Town

Carlisle
2 - 3
Grimsby Town

Lavelle (12'), Sadi (27')
Vela (55'), Sadi (58'), Barclay (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barrington (24'), Cass (81'), Rodgers (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
36.96% (0.143 0.14)26.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.105 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.135 0.13)50.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.119 0.12)72.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.146 0.15)26.58% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (0.192 0.19)61.8% (-0.188 -0.19)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18%61.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.96%
    Grimsby Town 36.93%
    Draw 26.1%
Carlisle UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.93%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-0
Grimsby Town
McCalmont (36'), Gibson (44')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Grimsby Town
1-2
Carlisle
Efete (65')
Moxon (7'), Dennis (44')
> Preview
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
1-1
Grimsby Town
Zanzala (90+3')
Hayden (31')
John-Lewis (16')
Coke (55')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
1-1
Carlisle
Pollock (24')
Taylor (37'), Waterfall (76'), Starbuck (82'), Pollock (90+3')
McKeown (46' og.)
Anderton (18')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 38
Grimsby Town
P-P
Carlisle