EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Brunton Park
  • goal Josh Stones 7'
  • goal Michael Olakigbe 24'
  • yellowcard Scott Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Silko Thomas 68'

Carlisle United vs Wigan Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 3, 2024 7.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 2 Forest U21s

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 3, 2024 7.00pm
Wigan 1 - 2 Morecambe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wigan Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wigan Athletic.

Result

Carlisle United 28.47% (+0.09)
Draw 24.5% (+0.49)
Wigan Athletic 47.03% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.37% (-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.89% (-2.11)
Under 2.5 46.1% (+2.11)
Over 3.5 31.6% (-2.02)
Under 3.5 68.4% (+2.02)
Over 4.5 15.79% (-1.46)
Under 4.5 84.21% (+1.46)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 70.2% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 29.8% (+1.02)
Over 1.5 34.12% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 65.88% (+1.25)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 80.3% (-1.07)
Under 0.5 19.69% (+1.07)
Over 1.5 48.3% (-1.77)
Under 1.5 51.69% (+1.76)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 28.47%
Draw 24.49%
Wigan Athletic 47.03%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 7.11% (+0.43)
2-1 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.3% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 28.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (+0.32)
0-0 @ 5.87% (+0.51)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.49%
Wigan Athletic
0-1 @ 9.54% (+0.53)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 7.75% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.22)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.14)
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.03%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The DW Stadium
  • Josh Magennis 16' goal
  • Liam Morrison 36' goal
  • Sean Clare 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Liam Morrison 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Shaw 72' yellowcard
  • Kell Watts 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Edmondson 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 47'
  • yellowcard Ben Barclay 54'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 60'
  • yellowcard Owen Moxon 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Maguire 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 54' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 56' goal
  • Sean Maguire 67' yellowcard
  • Jack Armer 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Lavelle 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Clare 19'
  • goal Charlie Wyke 34'
  • yellowcard Tom Pearce 58'