Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wigan Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wigan Athletic.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
28.47% ( 0.08)	24.5% ( 0.48)	47.03% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 56.37% (

-1.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

-2.1)

46.1% (

2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

-2.02)

68.4% (

2.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

-1.02)

29.8% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12% (

-1.25)

65.88% (

1.25)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-1.07)

19.69% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3% (

-1.76)

51.69% (

1.76)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 28.47%

Wigan Athletic 47.03%

Draw 24.49%

Carlisle United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.47%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) Other @ 3% Total : 47.03%