Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wigan Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wigan Athletic.