Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.