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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 0
Stevenage

Francis (9'), Doyle (50')
Crama (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (44'), Piergianni (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
36.71% (-0.252 -0.25)27.52% (0.061 0.06)35.77% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.232 -0.23)56.43% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.189 -0.19)77.44% (0.19 0.19)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)29.52% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.327 -0.33)65.54% (0.328 0.33)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.71%
    Stevenage 35.76%
    Draw 27.51%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Stevenage
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-0
Stevenage
Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
(Aggregate 1-1 | Exeter win 5-3 on penalties)
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
> Preview
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
> Preview