League One Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Edward Francis 9' goal
  • Kami Doyle 50' goal
  • Tristan Crama 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 44'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 83'

Exeter City vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
Blackpool 2 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Millenic Alli

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
Stevenage 3 - 0 Barnsley
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result

Exeter City 36.71% (-0.26)
Draw 27.52% (+0.07)
Stevenage 35.77% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.26% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.57% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 56.43% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 22.56% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 77.44% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 9.85% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 90.15% (+0.12)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 70.48% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 29.52% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 34.46% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 65.54% (+0.33)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 69.9% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.1% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.24% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 36.71%
Draw 27.51%
Stevenage 35.76%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.84% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 36.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.89% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 10.66% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.81% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.4% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.76%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Tom Carroll 22' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 38' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Thompson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Pierce Sweeney 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 7'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 47'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 86'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Carl Piergianni 45'+1' goal
  • Dan Butler 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Aitchison 23'
  • yellowcard Gary Caldwell 24'
  • yellowcard Kyle Taylor 43'
  • redcard Jack Aitchison 43'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 46'
  • goal Yanic Wildschut 47'
  • yellowcard Viljami Sinisalo 64'
  • yellowcard Ilmari Niskanen 75'
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET St. James' Park
  • Alex Hartridge 5' goal
  • Ryan Trevitt 8' yellowcard
  • Pierce Sweeney 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Evans 9'
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 63'
  • goal Jordan Roberts 69'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 89'
League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Sam Stubbs 28' goal
  • Sam Stubbs 44' goal
  • Josh Key 69' yellowcard
  • Pierce Sweeney 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 18'
  • goal Luke Norris 38'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barry 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Elliott List 23' goal
  • Jake Taylor 57' yellowcard
  • Elliott List 59' goal
  • Scott Cuthbert 66' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nombe 10'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 29'
  • yellowcard Alex Hartridge 44'
  • yellowcard George Ray 47'
  • goal Matt Jay 50'
  • yellowcard Nigel Atangana 84'
League Two Gameweek 19
Feb 2, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Ben Coker 55' yellowcard
  • goal Rory McArdle 28'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 49'