League Two

League Two | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 2
Notts County

Vela (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jatta (10'), Robertson (34')
Platt (16'), Abbott (62'), Bedeau (82')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Notts County
32.63% ( 0.09)	23.77% ( 0.08)	43.59% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 61.25% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.28% (

-0.38)

40.71% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.9% (

-0.38)

63.09% (

0.38)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58% (

-0.13)

24.41% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16% (

-0.18)

58.83% (

0.18)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

-0.23)

18.96% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.5% (

-0.38)

50.49% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 32.63%

Notts County 43.59%

Draw 23.77%

Carlisle United	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.63%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.59%