League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle0 - 2Notts County
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Notts County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Notts County |
32.63% ( 0.09) | 23.77% ( 0.08) | 43.59% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
