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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 39.64% ( | 26.38% ( | 33.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( | 52.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( | 73.77% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( | 25.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% ( | 60.69% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% | 29.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( | 64.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.64% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.98% |