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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Colchester United |
| 47.19% ( | 25.82% ( | 26.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( | 52.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( | 74.22% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( | 22.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( | 55.71% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% | 34.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.98% ( | 71.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.99% |