League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 0
Newport

Sims (40')
Daly (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Baker-Richardson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Newport
Monday, October 7 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Newport County
42.36% ( 0.11)	24.7% ( 0.03)	32.94% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 58.05% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

-0.17)

44.95% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7% (

-0.16)

67.3% (

0.17)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73% (

-0.02)

21.27% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.81% (

-0.03)

54.2% (

0.04)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

-0.17)

26.27% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62% (

-0.23)

61.38% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 42.36%

Newport County 32.94%

Draw 24.7%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Newport County
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.36%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.94%