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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
30.95% ( 1.6) | 25.21% ( 0.15) | 43.83% ( -1.76) |
Both teams to score 55.46% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.03% ( 0.09) | 47.96% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.86% ( 0.08) | 70.14% ( -0.08) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% ( 1.15) | 29.02% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% ( 1.4) | 64.92% ( -1.4) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( -0.76) | 21.87% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% ( -1.17) | 55.11% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.95% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Newport CountyNewport | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
14 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |