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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 30.95% ( | 25.21% ( | 43.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( | 47.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( | 70.14% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( | 29.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( | 64.92% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( | 21.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( | 55.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.95% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.83% |