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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 68.05% ( | 19.79% ( | 12.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( | 48.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( | 70.52% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( | 13.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.06% ( | 39.94% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.12% ( | 48.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.13% ( | 83.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-0 @ 13.22% ( 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 3-0 @ 8.93% ( 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 4-0 @ 4.52% ( 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 2-2 @ 3.39% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 12.16% |