Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.