League Two Gameweek 11
Chesterfield
Oct 12, 2024 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
Notts County
  • Paddy Madden 6' goal
  • Jenson Metcalfe 64' yellowcard
  • Will Grigg 74' goal
  • Oliver Banks 90' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 14'
  • yellowcard Matt Palmer 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 64'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 87'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'+4'

Chesterfield vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Chesterfield 2 - 2 Walsall
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Will Grigg

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Notts County 0 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Chesterfield 50.49% ▼ (-0.70)
Draw 22.6% ▲ (+0.18)
Notts County 26.9% ▲ (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.69% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.47% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 38.52% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 39.18% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 60.82% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 21.49% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 78.51% ▲ (+0.34)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 84.52% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 0.5 15.48% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 55.64% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 44.36% ▲ (+0.72)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 72.99% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 27.01% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 37.63% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 62.36% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Chesterfield 50.49%
Draw 22.6%
Notts County 26.9%
Chesterfield
2-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 50.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.6%
Notts County
1-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 26.9%

Head to Head

National League
Chesterfield
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Wembley Stadium
Notts County
  • Andy Dallas 6' goal
  • Armando Dobra 93' goal
  • goal John Bostock 88'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 108'
National League Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
Notts County
  • Armando Dobra 45'+3' goal
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 25'
  • goal Adam Chicksen 72'
National League Gameweek 4
Notts County
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Chesterfield
  • Jim O'Brien 37' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 60' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 63' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 64' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Mandeville 16'
  • goal Akwasi Asante 55'
  • yellowcard Jeff King 81'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 37
Notts County
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Chesterfield
  • Frank Vincent 39' yellowcard
  • Kyle Wootton 45'+2' goal
  • Dion Kelly-Evans 64' yellowcard
  • Connell Rawlinson 84' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Whittle 13'
  • yellowcard Jeff King 55'
  • yellowcard Curtis Weston 58'
  • yellowcard Joe Quigley 84'
National League Gameweek 19
Chesterfield
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Notts County
  • Alex Whittle 7' yellowcard
  • James Kellerman 41' yellowcard
  • Laurence Maguire 60' goal
  • Laurence Maguire 86' goal
  • Saido Khan 89' yellowcard
  • Akwasi Asante 90' goal
  • Calvin Miller 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Elisha Sam 40'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cameron 62'
National League
Notts County
Jun 5, 2021 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Meadow Lane
Chesterfield
  • Kyle Wootton 30' goal
  • Mark Ellis 32' yellowcard
  • Kyle Wootton 71' goal
  • Mark Ellis 90' goal
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 24'
  • goal Danny Rowe 27'
  • yellowcard Manny Oyeleke 32'
  • goal Liam Mandeville 42'
  • yellowcard Gavin Gunning 65'

Form Data

Chesterfield 2 - 2 Walsall
Bromley 2 - 2 Chesterfield
Doncaster 0 - 3 Chesterfield
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Cheltenham
Port Vale 1 - 0 Chesterfield
Chesterfield 2 - 1 Grimsby Town
Notts County 0 - 2 Northampton
Notts County 0 - 1 Port Vale
Carlisle 0 - 2 Notts County
Morecambe 1 - 1 Notts County
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Notts County
Notts County 0 - 1 Gillingham