League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 12, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Madden (6'), Grigg (74')
Metcalfe (64'), Banks (90'), Naylor (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jatta (14'), McGoldrick (90+4')
Palmer (55'), Macarai (64'), Crowley (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
50.49% ( -0.69)	22.6% ( 0.18)	26.9% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 61.69% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.47% (

-0.4)

38.52% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.18% (

-0.42)

60.82% (

0.42)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

-0.38)

15.48% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.64% (

-0.71)

44.36% (

0.71)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

0.16)

27.01% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

0.21)

62.36% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 50.49%

Notts County 26.9%

Draw 22.6%

Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.86% Total : 50.49%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.9%