Notts County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Northampton Town

Notts County
0 - 2
Northampton


Reynolds (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fox (22'), McCarron (59')
Guinness-Walker (36'), Hondermarck (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Notts County and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawNorthampton Town
51.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.27%25.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 61.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)37.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)43.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)27.51% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.01% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.96%
    Northampton Town 25.77%
    Draw 22.26%
Notts CountyDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.92%
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 51.96%
1-1 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 25.77%

How you voted: Notts County vs Northampton

Notts County
80.0%
Draw
14.5%
Northampton Town
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Second Round
Northampton
3-1
Notts County
Wharton (3'), Oliver (25'), Smith (76')
Anderson (34'), McCormack (43'), Goode (88')
Dennis (84')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Notts County
2-2
Northampton
Rose (27'), Hemmings (52')
Duffy (45'), Hemmings (62'), Rose (63')
Schofield (46')
Powell (44'), Hoskins (50')
Goode (4'), Turnbull (39'), Cornell (55'), Hoskins (77'), Pierre (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Northampton
0-0
Notts County
Taylor (21'), Crooks (63'), van Veen (80')
Turley (36'), Hewitt (73')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Northampton
2-2
Notts County
Holmes (32', 76' pen.)
O'Toole (72')
Audel (36'), Stead (72' pen.)
Edwards (79'), Noble (83')
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
Notts County
1-2
Northampton
Stead (52')
Burke (35')
McDonald (31'), Moloney (76')
Adams (83')