League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Northampton2 - 4Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
We said: Northampton Town 0-1 Bolton Wanderers
Northampton Town are struggling at present and have historically fared poorly in this fixture – this, coupled with Bolton's recent upturn in form, leads us to predict a victory for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
23.18% ( -2.74) | 24.4% ( -0.17) | 52.42% ( 2.9) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -2.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
