League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 4
Bolton

Eaves (90+1'), Guthrie (90+3')
McGeehan (10'), Chouchane (37'), Roberts (67'), Pinnock (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McAtee (6'), Thomason (23'), Toal (60'), Charles (83')
Thomason (17'), Schon (33'), Matete (90+2'), Williams (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
23.18% ( -2.74)	24.4% ( -0.17)	52.42% ( 2.9)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

-2.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.1% (

-1.71)

49.9% (

1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11% (

-1.55)

71.89% (

1.54)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85% (

-3.3)

36.15% (

3.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06% (

-3.52)

72.93% (

3.51)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

0.49)

19% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45% (

0.81)

50.55% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 23.18%

Bolton Wanderers 52.41%

Draw 24.4%

Northampton Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 2% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.18%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.91) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.58) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.41%