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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Port Vale |
| 42.77% ( | 23.82% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( | 40.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.93% ( | 63.07% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( | 19.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( | 23.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.82% ( | 58.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Port Vale |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.41% |