League One
Gameweek
10
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-
James McClean
8'
-
James McClean
8'
-
James McClean
29'
-
James McClean
29'
-
Jack Marriott
38'
-
Jack Marriott
38'
-
Elliot Lee
56'
-
Elliot Lee
56'
-
James McClean
67'
-
Cameron McGeehan
27'
-
Cameron McGeehan
27'
-
Jack Sowerby
31'
-
Jack Sowerby
31'
-
Sam Hoskins
76'
Wrexham vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Wrexham
61.1%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
20.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Northampton Town
17.98%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
54.98%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
41.63%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
35.97%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
64.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
19%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
81%
▲
(+0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
86.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
13.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
60.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
39.84%
▼
(-0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.31%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
36.69%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
26.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
73.47%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Wrexham
61.1%
Draw
20.92%
Northampton Town
17.98%
Wrexham
2-1
@
9.96%
2-0 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 61.1%
2-0 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 61.1%
Draw
1-1
@
9.82%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.92%
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.92%
Northampton Town
1-2
@
4.92%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.98%
0-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.98%
Head to Head
League Two
League Two