League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

SToK Cae Ras

Wrexham
4 - 1
Northampton

McClean (8', 8', 67'), Marriott (38', 38'), Lee (56', 56')
McClean (29'), McClean (29')

FT(HT: 4-2)

McGeehan (27', 27')
Sowerby (31'), Sowerby (31'), Hoskins (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 2-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Northampton Town
61.1% ( 0.04)	20.92% ( -0.01)	17.98% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.37% (

-0.03)

41.63% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

-0.03)

64.02% (

0.02)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.84% (

13.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.16% (

0.01)

39.84% (

-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

-0.06)

36.69% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52% (

-0.06)

73.47% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 61.1%

Northampton Town 17.98%

Draw 20.92%

Wrexham	Draw	Northampton Town
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 61.1%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.92%	1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.98%